Pre-tourney Rankings
Virginia Commonwealth
Colonial Athletic
2010-11
Overall
Predictive Rating+5.7#83
Expected Predictive Rating+7.1#72
Pace68.3#161
Improvement-1.0#224

Offense
Total Offense+3.0#82
Improvement+1.7#86

Defense
Total Defense+2.7#84
Improvement-2.7#297
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 23.2% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 23.2% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.9 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four16.1% n/a n/a
First Round12.5% n/a n/a
Second Round2.9% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.5% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2010 286   UNC Greensboro W 101-86 93%     1 - 0 +4.0 -5.0 -5.4
  Nov 15, 2010 227   Winthrop W 67-54 80%     2 - 0 +9.7 -1.7 -1.0
  Nov 16, 2010 261   @ Wake Forest W 90-69 79%     3 - 0 +18.2 -1.0 -0.9
  Nov 24, 2010 56   Tennessee L 72-77 38%     3 - 1 +3.9 +3.9 +4.8
  Nov 26, 2010 50   UCLA W 89-85 35%     4 - 1 +13.7 +5.2 +4.7
  Dec 01, 2010 112   @ South Florida L 59-60 OT 47%     4 - 2 +5.6 +2.9 +3.6
  Dec 04, 2010 216   William & Mary W 59-55 87%     5 - 2 1 - 0 -2.2 -3.3 -2.7
  Dec 08, 2010 198   VMI W 86-80 85%     6 - 2 +0.7 -2.8 -2.3
  Dec 11, 2010 47   @ Richmond L 60-72 23%     6 - 3 +1.3 +6.2 +6.5
  Dec 18, 2010 180   Tulane W 70-67 83%     7 - 3 -1.2 -2.3 -1.8
  Dec 21, 2010 68   @ UAB L 65-68 30%     7 - 4 +8.0 +5.2 +5.7
  Dec 29, 2010 90   Wofford W 75-66 65%     8 - 4 +10.7 +1.1 +1.0
  Dec 30, 2010 283   New Hampshire W 78-65 93%     9 - 4 +2.3 -4.9 -5.2
  Jan 03, 2011 217   @ Georgia St. L 66-76 71%     9 - 5 1 - 1 -9.9 -0.3 +0.0
  Jan 05, 2011 109   Drexel W 52-48 70%     10 - 5 2 - 1 +4.3 -0.3 +0.8
  Jan 08, 2011 213   @ UNC Wilmington W 82-64 70%     11 - 5 3 - 1 +18.2 +0.6 +0.5
  Jan 12, 2011 216   @ William & Mary W 70-52 70%     12 - 5 4 - 1 +18.2 +0.6 +0.6
  Jan 15, 2011 191   Northeastern W 73-64 83%     13 - 5 5 - 1 +4.4 -1.7 -2.4
  Jan 19, 2011 217   Georgia St. W 71-54 87%     14 - 5 6 - 1 +10.8 -3.0 -2.5
  Jan 22, 2011 61   @ Old Dominion W 59-50 28%     15 - 5 7 - 1 +20.8 +5.9 +6.4
  Jan 24, 2011 272   @ Towson W 80-76 81%     16 - 5 8 - 1 +0.4 -1.5 -1.9
  Jan 27, 2011 140   Hofstra W 82-67 75%     17 - 5 9 - 1 +13.7 -0.2 -0.4
  Jan 29, 2011 213   UNC Wilmington W 79-70 86%     18 - 5 10 - 1 +2.9 -2.5 -3.1
  Feb 02, 2011 191   @ Northeastern L 80-91 65%     18 - 6 10 - 2 -9.3 +1.2 +0.0
  Feb 05, 2011 101   @ James Madison W 70-66 44%     19 - 6 11 - 2 +11.2 +3.6 +3.8
  Feb 09, 2011 200   @ Delaware W 84-74 2OT 68%     20 - 6 12 - 2 +10.8 +0.7 +0.5
  Feb 12, 2011 61   Old Dominion L 59-70 51%     20 - 7 12 - 3 -5.5 +2.4 +2.5
  Feb 15, 2011 34   George Mason L 51-71 40%     20 - 8 12 - 4 -11.7 +3.3 +4.0
  Feb 18, 2011 63   @ Wichita St. W 68-67 29%     21 - 8 +12.5 +5.9 +5.6
  Feb 23, 2011 109   @ Drexel L 60-64 46%     21 - 9 12 - 5 +2.7 +3.4 +3.0
  Feb 26, 2011 101   James Madison L 69-72 68%     21 - 10 12 - 6 -2.1 +0.4 +0.3
  Mar 05, 2011 109   Drexel W 62-60 59%     22 - 10 +5.5 +1.6 +2.0
  Mar 06, 2011 34   George Mason W 79-63 29%     23 - 10 +27.4 +6.2 +6.0
  Mar 07, 2011 61   Old Dominion L 65-70 39%     23 - 11 +3.6 +4.3 +4.1
Projected Record 23.0 - 11.0 12.0 - 6.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 23.2% 23.2% 11.9 0.3 2.5 19.9 0.5 76.8 23.2%
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 23.2% 0.0% 23.2% 11.9 0.3 2.5 19.9 0.5 76.8 23.2%